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Is Salesforce Undervalued? Company Initiates Record $25 Billion Accelerated Stock Buyback

By James Rodriguez

1 day ago

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Is Salesforce Undervalued? Company Initiates Record $25 Billion Accelerated Stock Buyback

Salesforce has initiated a record $25 billion accelerated stock buyback, the largest in corporate history, representing half of its $50 billion repurchase authorization. The move, following strong Q4 results, signals confidence in the company's future amid AI-driven growth, with shares rising on the announcement.

SAN FRANCISCO — Salesforce Inc., the cloud computing giant, has launched what it calls the largest accelerated stock repurchase program in corporate history, committing $25 billion to buy back its own shares. The move, announced on Monday, represents half of the $50 billion total repurchase authority approved by the company's board in February, signaling strong confidence in its future amid a shifting tech landscape.

According to details released by the company, the accelerated share repurchase, or ASR, involves an initial prepayment and delivery of approximately 103 million shares, covering about 80 percent of the expected total under the agreement. This transaction targets roughly 13 percent of Salesforce's existing float, given the company's market capitalization of $184 billion at the time of the announcement. Shares of Salesforce, traded under the ticker CRM on the New York Stock Exchange, rose 1.78 percent to $196.26 during Monday's trading session, as reported by market data provider Benzinga Pro.

Marc Benioff, Salesforce's chair and chief executive officer, emphasized the strategic nature of the buyback in a statement. “We are aggressively repurchasing shares because we are so confident in the future of Salesforce,” Benioff said. The executive's comments come at a time when the company is navigating the so-called agentic era, a period marked by advancements in artificial intelligence and automation that Salesforce has positioned itself to capitalize on through its core customer relationship management software and expanding AI offerings.

The buyback follows a robust fourth-quarter performance for Salesforce, reported on February 25. The company posted revenue of $11.2 billion, surpassing Wall Street's consensus estimate of $11.18 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $3.81, well above the expected $3.04, according to financial analysts' projections. These results underscore Salesforce's resilience in a competitive software market, where growth has been pressured by economic uncertainties and the rise of rival cloud providers like Microsoft and Amazon Web Services.

Robin Washington, Salesforce's president and chief operating and financial officer, highlighted the buyback as a reflection of internal optimism. In her remarks, Washington noted that the move demonstrates “increased conviction in the durability of our growth.” This pivot toward returning capital to shareholders aligns with broader trends among tech firms seeking to boost stock prices and appease investors amid moderating growth rates post-pandemic.

Accelerated share repurchases have become a popular tool for companies to efficiently return value to investors. Unlike traditional open-market buybacks, ASRs allow firms to immediately retire a significant portion of shares, often at a discount to the current market price, with final pricing determined later based on the volume-weighted average price over a set period. For Salesforce, the final settlement of the ASR is slated for the third or fourth quarter of its fiscal year 2027, depending on the average share price during the agreement's term.

Salesforce, founded in 1999 by Benioff and others, has long been a pioneer in cloud-based enterprise software. The company's subscription model has driven consistent revenue growth, but recent years have seen challenges from macroeconomic headwinds, including inflation and interest rate hikes that have dampened enterprise spending. The $25 billion buyback, equivalent to more than 13 percent of the company's float, could provide a significant lift to earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares, potentially making the stock more attractive to investors.

Analysts have mixed views on whether Salesforce is undervalued, a question posed in the context of this announcement. While the buyback suggests management believes the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, some market observers point to ongoing concerns over Salesforce's ability to sustain high growth rates. The company's shares have fluctuated in recent months, recovering from a dip earlier in the year but still below peaks seen during the height of the AI hype cycle.

This repurchase program builds on Salesforce's history of shareholder-friendly actions. In addition to the February board authorization of $50 billion, the company has executed multiple buybacks in recent years, totaling billions of dollars. Such moves are often seen as a vote of confidence from insiders, particularly when paired with strong quarterly results like those from the latest period.

The timing of the ASR coincides with evolving dynamics in the software industry, where artificial intelligence integrations are becoming central to competitive strategies. Salesforce has invested heavily in AI through initiatives like Einstein, its AI-powered analytics platform, which aims to enhance customer interactions and operational efficiency. Benioff has frequently touted these advancements as key to the company's long-term prospects, a theme echoed in the buyback rationale.

From a broader market perspective, large-scale buybacks like this one can influence overall stock market sentiment. In 2023 alone, S&P 500 companies repurchased over $600 billion in shares, according to data from S&P Dow Jones Indices. Salesforce's program, if fully executed, would rank among the largest ever, surpassing previous records set by firms like Apple and IBM in scale relative to market cap.

Investors will be watching closely as the ASR unfolds, with the initial delivery of shares already completed on Monday. The final number of shares repurchased will hinge on Salesforce's stock performance over the coming months, providing a built-in mechanism for the company to adapt to market conditions. Meanwhile, the board's remaining $25 billion in authorization leaves room for additional repurchases if conditions remain favorable.

As Salesforce executes this historic transaction, it positions itself not only to reward shareholders but also to reinforce its narrative as a leader in the evolving tech ecosystem. With final settlement potentially over two years away, the full impact on the company's valuation and strategic direction remains to be seen. For now, the move has contributed to a positive uptick in the stock, reflecting market approval of management's capital allocation strategy.

In the weeks ahead, Salesforce is expected to provide further updates on its AI initiatives and partnership expansions, which could further bolster investor sentiment. Strategic alliances, such as those with major cloud providers and AI developers, have been a cornerstone of the company's growth playbook, and any announcements in these areas could amplify the effects of the buyback.

Overall, this $25 billion commitment underscores a pivotal moment for Salesforce as it balances innovation with financial discipline in an uncertain economic environment. As the company moves forward, stakeholders from Wall Street to Silicon Valley will be attuned to how this aggressive repurchase plays out against the backdrop of its operational performance.

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