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Strategy Buys 13,927 Bitcoin For $1 Billion As MSTR Squeezes Into A Make-Or-Break Level - Strategy (NASDA

By Jessica Williams

6 days ago

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Strategy Buys 13,927 Bitcoin For $1 Billion As MSTR Squeezes Into A Make-Or-Break Level - Strategy (NASDA

MicroStrategy purchased 13,927 Bitcoin for $1 billion, boosting its holdings to over 3.7% of the total supply amid stock market volatility. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor remains optimistic, while analysts like TD Cowen have lowered price targets, highlighting differing views on the strategy's future.

By Jessica Williams, The Appleton Times

WASHINGTON, D.C. — MicroStrategy Inc., the business intelligence firm turned aggressive Bitcoin investor, has added another significant chunk to its cryptocurrency holdings, purchasing 13,927 Bitcoin for approximately $1 billion. The acquisition, announced this week, brings the company's total Bitcoin stash to 780,897 BTC, acquired at an average cost basis of $75,577 per coin, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This latest move underscores MicroStrategy's unwavering commitment to Bitcoin as a treasury asset, even as the company's stock faces mounting pressure amid volatile crypto markets.

The purchase was funded entirely through at-the-market sales of the company's variable-rate cumulative preferred stock, ticker STRC, with MicroStrategy selling 10,028,363 shares for roughly $1 billion last week. As of April 12, the company still has $21.6 billion worth of STRC shares available for issuance and sale under its ongoing program. Notably, MicroStrategy did not sell any shares of its Class A common stock, ticker MSTR, during that period, leaving $27.1 billion available under a separate at-the-market program. This shift toward using preferred stock for funding Bitcoin buys has become a key strategy in recent months, allowing the company to expand its holdings without immediately diluting common shareholders.

MicroStrategy's total Bitcoin holdings now represent more than 3.7% of the cryptocurrency's fixed supply of 21 million coins. At current market prices, which hovered around $64,000 per Bitcoin as of Monday, this portfolio implies paper losses of about $3.6 billion for the company. The firm's executive chairman, Michael Saylor, a vocal Bitcoin advocate, sought to calm investor concerns over the weekend via a post on X, formerly Twitter. “Our BTC Breakeven ARR is around 2.05%,” Saylor wrote, referring to the annual recurring revenue needed to cover costs. He added, “If bitcoin grows faster than that over time, we can cover our dividends indefinitely without issuing new MSTR shares.”

Saylor's comments come at a time when MicroStrategy's stock, MSTR, is navigating a precarious technical landscape. Shares closed Friday down 1% at $127.51, caught in what analysts describe as a Bollinger Band squeeze—a volatility indicator where price bands converge, signaling an impending breakout or breakdown. The upper Bollinger Band sits at $148.55, the midline at $131.92, and the lower band at $115.29, marking the tightest convergence since before a sharp decline in February. Currently, the stock price is wedged between the 20-day exponential moving average at $130 and the lower band at $115.29, battling to maintain support in the $125 to $128 range.

Key support levels are identified at $115.29, corresponding to the lower Bollinger Band, with further downside potential at $107, the February low. On the upside, resistance looms at $131.92 (the band midline), $138.60 (the 50-day EMA), and $148.55 (the upper band). Market watchers suggest that a break above $138 could signal bullish momentum, potentially driving the stock higher, while a drop below $115 might reopen the path to triple-digit territory. This technical setup has investors on edge, as MicroStrategy's performance is often seen as a leveraged play on Bitcoin's price movements.

Earlier this month, at a Mizuho investor conference, Saylor expressed optimism about Bitcoin's trajectory. He posited that the cryptocurrency likely bottomed out around $60,000, citing historical patterns where downturns conclude with the exhaustion of forced sellers—such as miners or leveraged traders liquidating positions. “Bitcoin likely bottomed around $60,000,” Saylor said, pointing to what he described as a recurring cycle in crypto markets. He also downplayed long-term threats like quantum computing, labeling them as “theoretical” and ultimately solvable through technological advancements over time.

Not all views align with Saylor's bullish outlook. Analysts at TD Cowen, in a note released Friday, slashed their price target for MicroStrategy by 20% to $350 per share. The downgrade stems from revised, more conservative assumptions about Bitcoin's future price appreciation and a recalibrated valuation of the company's potential gains in dollar terms per Bitcoin. “Weaker Bitcoin assumptions and a revised valuation for future dollar BTC gains,” the firm stated in its report, reflecting broader market skepticism amid recent crypto price stagnation.

MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy dates back to 2020, when it began allocating portions of its corporate treasury to the digital asset under Saylor's leadership. What started as a novel hedge against inflation has evolved into one of the largest corporate Bitcoin positions globally, influencing not just the company's balance sheet but also investor sentiment toward crypto adoption by traditional firms. The approach has drawn both praise for its boldness and criticism for its risk, especially as Bitcoin's price has swung wildly—from highs above $100,000 late last year to recent lows near $60,000.

The timing of this latest purchase coincides with a period of relative calm in Bitcoin markets following a turbulent first quarter. Regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrencies has intensified in the U.S., with the Securities and Exchange Commission approving Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds earlier this year, which some analysts credit with stabilizing prices. However, ongoing debates over potential tariffs, interest rate policies, and geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on investor risk appetite, indirectly affecting assets like MSTR.

From a funding perspective, the reliance on STRC preferred stock highlights MicroStrategy's innovative financing tactics. This instrument offers monthly dividends and has a variable rate, making it attractive to certain investors seeking yield in a high-interest-rate environment. By tapping into this without touching MSTR shares, the company aims to preserve equity value while fueling its Bitcoin accumulation. As of the latest data, the total cost of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings stands at approximately $59.02 billion, a figure that continues to grow with each acquisition.

Investor reactions have been mixed. While some applaud the disciplined execution of the Bitcoin thesis, others worry about the sustainability of the strategy if crypto prices fail to rebound robustly. Saylor's reassurance about the 2.05% breakeven annual rate suggests a buffer against moderate price growth, but it assumes Bitcoin's long-term appreciation outpaces that threshold—a bet not without controversy in financial circles.

Looking ahead, the Bollinger Band squeeze on MSTR could provide clues about near-term direction. A bullish resolution might bolster confidence in MicroStrategy's model, potentially attracting more institutional interest in Bitcoin treasuries. Conversely, a breakdown could exacerbate losses and prompt questions about the strategy's viability. With $21.6 billion in STRC and $27.1 billion in MSTR ATM capacity remaining, the company appears positioned for further buys, contingent on market conditions.

Broadly, MicroStrategy's actions reflect a larger trend of corporate experimentation with digital assets, from Tesla's past holdings to emerging adopters in emerging markets. Yet, as TD Cowen's adjustment illustrates, Wall Street remains divided on the risk-reward profile. Saylor's vision of Bitcoin as a superior store of value persists, but realization hinges on market dynamics that have proven unpredictable.

For now, all eyes are on MSTR's technical battle and Bitcoin's price action. As Saylor noted at the Mizuho event, downturns often end with seller exhaustion—a scenario that could validate his $60,000 bottom call if history rhymes. Until then, MicroStrategy's latest $1 billion bet serves as a high-stakes reminder of the intersection between traditional finance and the crypto frontier.

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