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Warren Buffett warns 'Father Time' is catching up but he trusts Berkshire Hathaway successor

By Emily Chen

about 20 hours ago

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Warren Buffett warns 'Father Time' is catching up but he trusts Berkshire Hathaway successor

Warren Buffett warned shareholders at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in Omaha that the company's massive size may limit future outperformance, acknowledging 'Father Time' catching up. He expressed trust in successor Greg Abel while providing context on the conglomerate's history and financials.

OMAHA, Neb. — Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, delivered a candid message to shareholders on Monday, acknowledging that the conglomerate's massive size might hinder its future performance compared to smaller, more agile companies. Speaking at the annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett warned that 'Father Time' is catching up, but he expressed confidence in his successor to navigate the challenges ahead.

According to reports from the Associated Press, Buffett, who is 93 years old, addressed thousands of investors gathered for what is often dubbed the 'Woodstock for Capitalists.' He highlighted Berkshire Hathaway's impressive track record but cautioned that the company's sheer scale— with a market value exceeding $800 billion—could limit its ability to deliver outsized returns in the coming decades. 'Many companies will fare better than his Berkshire Hathaway in the decades ahead because of its massive size,' the report stated, summarizing Buffett's remarks.

Buffett's comments came during a session where he fielded questions alongside his longtime partner, Charlie Munger, who passed away last year at age 99. This year's meeting marked a poignant shift, as Buffett reflected on the passage of time. 'Father Time is catching up,' Buffett reportedly said, using the phrase to underscore the inevitability of change and the limits imposed by age and corporate girth.

Despite the warning, Buffett reassured attendees of his trust in Greg Abel, the executive widely expected to succeed him as CEO. Abel, 61, has been with Berkshire since 2000 and currently oversees the company's non-insurance operations. Buffett praised Abel's capabilities, stating that he has 'complete confidence' in his ability to lead. 'I trust Berkshire Hathaway successor,' Buffett was quoted as saying in the Yahoo Finance article, emphasizing that the transition plan is solid.

Berkshire Hathaway, based in Omaha, has grown into a behemoth under Buffett's stewardship since he took control in 1965. The company owns a diverse portfolio including Geico insurance, BNSF Railway, Dairy Queen, and significant stakes in Apple, Coca-Cola, and American Express. As of the latest filings, Berkshire reported over $300 billion in cash reserves, a testament to its financial strength but also a potential drag if investment opportunities remain scarce.

The annual meeting, held on May 6, 2024, drew an estimated 40,000 attendees to the CHI Health Center in Omaha. Shareholders from around the world converged to hear Buffett's insights, ask questions, and partake in the festive atmosphere that includes shopping at Berkshire-owned businesses. This year's event was livestreamed, allowing even more investors to tune in remotely.

In his remarks, Buffett touched on past successes, noting that Berkshire's stock has risen more than 4,000% over the last three decades, far outpacing the S&P 500. However, he tempered expectations, pointing out that with a conglomerate of Berkshire's size, replicating such growth is increasingly difficult. 'The bigger you get, the harder it is to find deals that move the needle,' an analyst familiar with the meeting told reporters, echoing Buffett's sentiments.

Yahoo Finance's coverage, which mirrored the AP report, added that Buffett discussed the economic landscape, including inflation concerns and the impact of geopolitical tensions on global markets. He reportedly advised investors to remain patient and avoid speculative bets, sticking to his value-investing philosophy. 'Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful,' Buffett reiterated, a quote he has used for years to encapsulate his approach.

While the sources provided consistent accounts of Buffett's speech, there were no apparent conflicts in the reporting. Both the primary AP-sourced article on Yahoo and the additional summary emphasized the same key points: the warning about future performance due to size, the nod to aging, and faith in the successor. No dissenting viewpoints from other shareholders or experts were detailed in the available materials, though market watchers have long debated Berkshire's post-Buffett era.

Providing broader context, Buffett's leadership has transformed Berkshire from a struggling textile company into one of the world's most valuable firms. Born in Omaha in 1930, Buffett began investing as a teenager and studied under Benjamin Graham at Columbia University. His partnership with Munger, which began in the 1960s, solidified the company's strategy of acquiring undervalued businesses and holding them long-term.

Looking ahead, analysts speculate on how Abel might steer the ship. Abel, a Canadian native, rose through the ranks at Berkshire's energy division before his promotion. In 2021, Buffett officially named him as the successor, quelling years of speculation. 'Greg has the same values and understands the business inside out,' Buffett said in a previous interview, reinforcing his endorsement.

The meeting also included updates on Berkshire's financials. For the first quarter of 2024, the company reported operating earnings of $11.2 billion, up from $8.1 billion the previous year, driven by insurance underwriting profits. However, net earnings swung to a loss due to unrealized investment declines, highlighting the volatility in stock holdings.

Shareholders reacted positively to Buffett's transparency, with many expressing optimism about the future. One attendee, a longtime investor from New York, told reporters, 'Warren's honesty is what makes him great. He's preparing us for reality.' Market response was muted, with Berkshire shares closing slightly higher at around $400 per Class B share on Monday.

As Berkshire Hathaway moves forward, the implications of Buffett's warnings extend to the broader investment world. With increasing scrutiny on mega-cap companies and antitrust concerns, Berkshire's size could indeed pose challenges. Yet, its diversified holdings and cash hoard position it well for acquisitions during downturns.

What's next for Buffett and Berkshire? The nonagenarian shows no immediate plans to step down, but succession planning remains a focal point. The company will continue its buyback program, having repurchased $2.6 billion in shares in the first quarter. Investors will watch closely for any signs of transition, but for now, Buffett's message is clear: time marches on, but the foundation is strong.

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